In World War
2 China was on the side of the
allies, and Japan was on Germany ’s
side. After the end of WW2 the communists of Mao Zedong won the national socialists
of Chiang Kai-shek at the Chinese civil war, and the national socialists were
left with Taiwan ,
in which they declared their own state. Till this day Taiwan is a separate country with very problematic
relations with China .
See map 1.
Picture 1
The communists
introduced a dictatorship in China ,
and the national socialists introduced a dictatorship in Taiwan . However in order to
confront China , the national
socialists had to align themselves with the West, and gradually they were
forced to democratize Taiwan .
Today Taiwan
is a western type democracy.
In the first
years of the Second World War, the relations between China
and Russia
were satisfactory, but very soon many problems arose. One of the problems
between Russia and China is India . India
is a Russian ally but a major rival for China . Therefore China became an ally of Pakistan , which was India ’s other major rival. However Pakistan was an ally of the US and the Arabs of the Persian
Gulf . Actually when the Russians invaded Afghanistan in 1979, in order to back the
pro-Soviet communist government, China ,
together with the US ,
the Saudis and the Pakistanis, were training the Afghan Mujahideen, in order to
fight the Afghan communists who were supported by the Indians and the Russians.
Actually, as
you can read at the following Wikipedia link, titled “Competing Hegemonies”,
the Chinese were training Mujahideen even within China .
6th
and 7th Paragraphs
However in
other geographic locations the Chinese and the Soviets were cooperating, as was
the case in Vietnam , where
both of them were supporting the communists of North
Vietnam , and the US
and their allies were supporting South Vietnam . Finally the
communists won the war and they took control of the whole country in 1975.
During the Korean War in the 50s, the Russian and the Chinese were both
supporting the North Koreans, while the US
was supporting South Korea .
Besides India , the very long borders between China and the Soviet Union
were another factor of distrust between the two communist neighbors. For the
Sino-Soviet borders see map 2
Picture 2
Until 1991 the
countries of Central Asia were members of the Soviet Union, and they were controlled
by Russia .
Therefore the oil reserves of Azerbaijan
and Kazakhstan , and the
natural gas reserves of Azerbaijan
and Turkmenistan , were also
controlled by Russia .
As you can see at the following two maps, from Columbia
University and the Energy Information
Administration, most of the oil and natural gas of the Soviet Union was located
in Turkmenistan , Kazakhstan and West Siberia .
Picture 3
Picture 4
As you can
see from map 4, today 89% of the Russian natural gas, and 62% of the Russian
oil, are produced in West Siberia . After 1991
the countries of Central Asia gained their
independence. Note that 90% of the inhabitants of Central Asia i.e. Kazakhstan , Turkmenistan ,
Uzbekistan , Tajikistan , Kyrgystan, are Muslims of Turkic
origins, and there was no reason why the communists of the Soviet Union, and
not the communists of China ,
should control their oil and gas. As you can read at the following Wikipedia
article, titled “Competing Hegemonies”, the Soviets were moving more and more
soldiers and air crafts near their borders with China i.e. at the borders with
Xinjiang, which borders Central Asia. Obviously the Soviets were worried about
a Chinese invasion in Central Asia . See map 5. Note that the map show some
existing and some proposed pipelines which are irrelevant with what I am
talking about now.
1st
and 2nd Paragraphs
Meanwhile, during
1968, the Soviet Army had
amassed along the 4,380 km (2,738 mi.) border with China—especially
at the Xinjiang frontier, in north-west China, where
the Soviets might readily induce Turkic separatists to insurrection.
Militarily, in 1961, the USSR
had 12 divisions and 200 aeroplanes at that border; in 1968, there were 25
divisions, 1,200 aeroplanes, and 120 medium-range missiles. Furthermore,
although China had detonated its first nuclear weapon (the
596 Test), in October 1964, at Lop Nur basin, the People's Liberation
Army was militarily inferior to the Red Army.[23]
By March 1969,
Sino-Russian border politics became the Sino-Soviet border
conflict at the Ussuri River and
onDamansky–Zhenbao Island;
more small-scale warfare occurred at Tielieketi in August. In The Coming War
Between Russia and China (1969), US journalist Harrison Salisbury reported
that Soviet sources implied a possible first strikeagainst the Lop Nur basin nuclear weapons testing
site.[23]
Picture 5
3rd Paragraph
In December 1979,
the USSR
invaded the Democratic
Republic of Afghanistan to sustain the Afghan Communist
government. The PRC viewed the Soviet invasion as a local feint, within Russia 's greater geopolitical encirclement of China .
In response, the PRC entered a tri-partite alliance with the U.S. and Pakistan, to sponsorIslamist Afghan armed resistance to the Soviet Occupation (1979–89).
(cf. Operation Storm-333)
Meanwhile, the Sino-Soviet split became manifest when Deng Xiaoping, the paramount leader of China , required the removal of
"three obstacles" so that Sino-Soviet relations might improve:
1)The massed Soviet
Army at the Sino-Soviet border, and in Mongolia.
2)Soviet support of
the Vietnamese
occupation of Kampuchea (Cambodia).
3)The Soviet
occupation of Afghanistan .
From all
the above it is obvious that Russia’s interests are aligned with the ones of
NATO and the EU, because no one can guarantee to the Russians that in the following
decades the Chinese will not move towards West Siberia. If it wasn’t for their rivalry
with the US ,
the Chinese and the Russians would probably have very problematic relations.
And that becomes even worse if it is taken into account that the people of Siberia are talking about autonomy or even independence.
Who would be a better patron than China for them in the next decades?
See also “Russia vs Siberia ”.
And as I
said West Siberia is located after the Ural Mountains ,
as you can see at the following map.
Picture 6
Another problem
in the Sino-Russian relations is that the region of Manchuria
is on the East Sino-Soviet borders. Manchuria
is very rich in coal, iron, and many other raw materials. You can see Manchuria at the following map.
Picture 7
The mini war
between the Soviets and the Chinese in 1969 took place in the region of Manchuria . You can read about it at the following
Wikipedia link, titled “Border Wars”.
1st
and 2nd Paragraps
Meanwhile, during
1968, the Soviet Army had
amassed along the 4,380 km (2,738 mi.) border with China—especially
at the Xinjiang frontier, in north-west China, where
the Soviets might readily induce Turkic separatists to insurrection.
Militarily, in 1961, the USSR
had 12 divisions and 200 aeroplanes at that border; in 1968, there were 25
divisions, 1,200 aeroplanes, and 120 medium-range missiles. Furthermore,
although China had detonated its first nuclear weapon (the
596 Test), in October 1964, at Lop Nur basin, the People's Liberation
Army was militarily inferior to the Red Army.[23]
By March 1969,
Sino-Russian border politics became the Sino-Soviet border
conflict at the Ussuri River and
onDamansky–Zhenbao Island;
more small-scale warfare occurred at Tielieketi in August. In The Coming War
Between Russia and China (1969), US journalist Harrison Salisbury reported
that Soviet sources implied a possible first strikeagainst the Lop Nur basin nuclear weapons testing
site.[23]
For all the
above reasons the USSR and China
started competing for influence over the countries that were run by communist
dictatorships. At the following Wikipedia map you can see with red the
communist countries which were aligned with USSR
and with yellow the ones aligned with China .
Picture 8
As you can see
at the map, under Soviet control was Mongolia, Vietnam, Laos, Ethiopia, Angola,
Mozambique, the Republic of Congo, Cuba, and the countries of Eastern Europe i.e.
Poland, Rumania etc. Under Chinese control were Somalia ,
and Albania .
The ones with black are the non-aligned communists countries i.e. former Yugoslavia at the Balkans, and North Korea in Asia .
Actually during the war between Ethiopia
and Somalia in 1977, the
Soviets were supporting the Ethiopians and the Chinese were supporting the
Somali, and during the civil war in Angola the Soviets and the Chinese
were again supporting different parties.
Note that
one should not confuse the communist countries of the above map with the
socialist dictatorships of the Middle East and North
Africa . In the Middle East and North Africa there were socialist
dictators who were Soviet allies i.e. Qadaffi in Libya and Sadam Hussein in
Iraq, but they did not tolerate communists in their countries, because the
communists wanted these countries to become Soviet satellites, and not Soviet
allies, and that would give the Soviets control of the oil in these countries.
And there was the strange phenomenon that the socialist dictators who were
soviet allies were oppressing local communists, and the Soviets would not react.
After the
fall of the Soviet Union in 1991, the Soviets lost Central Asia, and things
became easier between China
and Russia .
The two countries improved their relations, and today they are allies. However Russia does not like the big Chinese influence
in Central Asia . China
is the big investor in the countries of Central Asia and buys most of their oil
and natural gas, and has substituted Russia as the dominant power. Russia accepts this situation because China prevents the oil and gas of Central Asia
to go to Europe and compete with the oil and natural gas of Russia . But it is a sure thing that
Russia does not like the
growing Chinese influence in Central Asia .
Moreover Central Asia is located underneath West Siberia .
To conclude
I will say that relations between Russia
and China have been restored
after 1991, but I will insist that Russia ’s interests are next to NATO
and the EU. The problem is that for that to happen Russia must become a democratic
country, like the other countries of the European Union. Only then Russia could have the first role in Europe . However Putin is turning Russia to a fascist country, and it is possible
that in the 21st Century Russia
will become for China what Saudi Arabia was for the US in the 20th Century i.e. Russia will supply oil and gas to China , and China
will supply Russia
with arms. Because it is a sure thing that China
will soon be a much greater arms producer than Russia .
Another
great problem for Russia ’s
democratization is that the Russians were never free. Freedom came for the
Russians together with the economic collapse of 1991, and therefore the
Russians are confused. They do not appreciate their freedom much because they
confuse it with the economic collapse and pauperization. Therefore it is not
very difficult to turn the Russian people towards socialism, especially when
the media are controlled by the state, as it is the case with Putin’s Russia .
I must also
say that in 2014 Russia and China signed an agreement for the construction
of two massive pipelines, which will carry Russian natural gas to China .
See the following map. However it remains to be seen if the two countries will
manage to construct these two pipelines. Many analysts say that the costs are
too high, and that it is very difficult to construct pipelines in the
unfriendly environment of Siberia .
Picture 9
For the
Sino-Soviet conflict see
“Sino-Soviet
Split ”
Picture 10
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