Nursultan Nazarbayev
is the President of Kazakhstan. Kazakhstan
is one of the richest countries in the world in terms of oil and uranium
reserves. Nazarbayev is a Muslim of Turkic origin, like most of the people of
Central Asia (Kazakhstan , Turkmenistan , Tajikistan ,
Uzbekistan , Kyrgyzstan ).
However for as long as the countries of Central Asia were Russian colonies,
that is until 1991, Nazarbayev was a communist atheist, because that’s what
Russia demanded, in order to prevent the Arabs, the Iranians and the Turks from
using Islam to gain influence in her colonies.
However
things changed after the collapse of the Soviet Union .
Nazarbayev, who was the General Secretary of Kazakhstan’s communist party, and
he knew how to “move” around, became Kazakhstan’s President, a post that he
holds to this very day (September 2015). Kazakhstan
does not want to depend on China
for its oil exports, and wants to send its oil to Europe too, through Turkey .
However Kazakhstan has to
take Russian threats seriously before selling oil to Europe, which is Russia ’s
major client. Putin has declared that there was never a country called Kazakhstan , making clear what will happen if Kazakhstan decides to send its oil to Europe .
Map 1
Nazarbayev
is trying to have good relations with Russia ,
because Russia has the military
advantage in the region, but he is no longer the atheist communism he once was,
and he is promoting Islam, in order to come closer to Turkey . Nazarbayev counts on Turkey ’s help to counter the Russian threats and
send Kazakhstan ’s oil to Europe . Turkey
is in very good terms with Kazakhstan
and Turkmenistan , which both
need her to counter the Russian threats and export their oil and natural gas to
Europe, but she has problematic relations with Uzbekistan ,
because Uzbekistan wants the
oil and natural gas of the region to move eastwards in order to pass from Uzbekistan .
With
Tajikistan Turkey does not have strong relations, because Tajikistan is close to Iran , but Turkey
has good relations with Kyrgyzstan ,
because the pipelines pass through Uzbekistan
and not through Kyrgyzstan
before reaching China .
Therefore Kyrgyzstan
does not have much to lose. However Turkmenistan ,
Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan are now talking about a pipeline through
Turkmenistan , Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan
to China .
If this pipeline is constructed at some point the relation between Turkey and Kyrgyzstan might be affected.
There are
three major influences in Central Asia . Russia ’s military influence, China ’s economic influence, and Turkey ’s
cultural influence (Islam). Some people call Central Asia the Middle
East of the 21st Century. Nursultan Nazarbayev is
dancing between communism and Islamism because he wants to sell the oil of his
country to both the East and the West. As you can read at the following
Bloomberg article, Nazarbayev has appointed his daughter as the deputy Prime
Minister, because he wants her to succeed him in Kazakhstan ’s leadership. Communists
and Islamists have something in common. They are not very democratic.
“Kazakh
Leader Names Daughter to Cabinet With Succession in Focus”, September 2015
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